SOCIAL TRADING

January is often a month of both low volume and profit in the Forex markets simply because less trading takes place. This opens the door for manipulations and huge price surges though. Many traders don’t even trade in January.

Both FGP01 and FGP05 turned a profit in January – a modest one though and on Startrader FGP05 took a small loss. I am still investigating cause of that. It might have to do with withdrawals/deposits and also with broker fees. Will find out!

All in all Social Trading has showed its potential with last year ending in good profit. Actually did better than most funds out there!

IMPORTANT NOTICE: SOON SOCIAL TRADING LICENSE FEES ARE NO MORE!

Link to FGP05 history.

Although most of FGP01 results have been private, there is Startrader records HERE. Screenshot of 2024 stats.

AUTOMATED TRADING – KRAITOS

Kraitos 4.3 or Kraitos Classic as I like to call it has proved to be a true workhorse. Running since April 2023 on some accounts I have access to, it has weathered everything thrown at it making 40-50% year gains with 20-30 DD levels. January gave 1.5% profit.

Kraitos X came running out the gates but fell flat on its face soon. Many improvements have been implemented since then and the current version is safe to use even with 2k accounts (according to robust backtesting). January gave 2.5% profit with the latest settings.

Kraitos Elite did not start with the right foot either. By now it has gotten significant updates and it shows in the results too. At the moment full effort is put into optimizing it per pair. This will yield higher returns with lower drawdown. I am very excited about Elite!

AUTOMATED TRADING – FLASH & GEARBOX

Flash did 1.84% profit in January. I did allow it to take a few extra positions as it seemed USD had peaked and a reversal was in order. Flash has shown good and stable results on some test accounts too – considering using the Gold London Breakout strategy on a live account. On a demo it has been performing well for a long time now.

Gearbox 3.0 did 3.11% on the new test account I am running. With the last years Dollar rally it became very clear 0.01 per 1k is too risky even for 3.0. Better to run it with 0.01 per 3k.

CRYPTO ADVANTAGE & JOHN WICK SIGNALS

Crypto Advantage has been 100% hedged for some time now. A large part of the open positions has been closed with the help of profits but there is still ways to go. I would like to see CA concluded in 6-12 months. We will see.

John Wick Signals did not do much in January. It a few trades and end result was 10 pips. Lets see how the rest of the year will go.

SOCIAL TRADING

Jaanuar on tihtipeale üsna rahulik kuu Forexis, sest pangahärrad ja turutegijad on oma laudadest eemal. See tähendab, et kauplemist on vähem, hinnad liiguvad ebakorrapärasemalt ja see kõik paneb kauplejate närvid ka proovile. On muidugi neid, kes Jaanuaris üldse ei kauple.

Tulemustest rääkides, siis nii FGP01 kui ka FGP05 tegid ootuspäraselt lahja tulemuse. FGP05 Startraderis tegi Jaanuaris -1,47%. Ei ole hetkel veel täpselt aru saanud millest selline erinevus – rolli võivad mängida deposiidid ja väljakanded kuid ka maakleritasud. Uurin edasi ja annan teada kui on selgem.

NB: SOCIAL TRADING ON VARSTI KÕIGILE ILMA KUUTASUTA!!!

Link FGP05 ajaloole.

FGP01 tulemused on suuresti privaatsed olnud. Kuvatõmmis 2024 tulemustest.

AUTOMAATSÜSTEEMID – KRAITOS

Kraitosel on eelmisest aastast 3 versiooni: klassikaline, millest on kujunenud tõeline tööloom ja mis tegi Jaanuaris 1.5% kasvu. Enda kontot ma Kraitose nime all edaspidi ei kajasta, kuna see on mul Kraitos/Elite ja natuke ka ise nokkimist olnud. Minu konto võttis Jaanuaris 2,97% kahjumit minu enda algatusel, sest tahtsin EURNZD tehingutest välja saada – nädal hiljem oleks muidugi kasumis välja saanud. See oli meeldetuletus, et ei tasu ise näppida.

Kraitos X mis kaupleb kulda on praeguseks korralikult optimeeritud ja esimesed tulemused uue seadistusega on ka olemas.

Kraitos Elite näitab samuti arenemise märke. Hetkel käib kibe töö Elite optimeerimisega, et saaks igale valuutapaarile oma seaded. See tõstab kasumlikust ja vähendab jooksvat miinust. Lähima kuu ajaga võiks peamistel paaridel vastav seadistus olemas olla.

AUTOMAATSÜSTEEMID – FLASH & GEARBOX

Flashi konto tegi Jaanuaris 1.84% kasvu suuresti tänu Dollari ralli lõppemisele. Endiselt on ees arvestatav jooksevmiinus kuid mitte midagi hullu. Gearbox näitas eelmise aasta lõpus väga selgelt, et 0.01 @ 1000 on liiga agressiivne. Need kes mõistliku lotiga on kasutanud, neil dollari rallist tulenevad kahjumid peaksid suuresti olema tagasi teenitud. Isiklikult kui on valida kas Gearbox või Kraitos, siis jään Kraitose juurde.

CRYPTO ADVANTAGE & JOHN WICK SIGNAALID

Crypto Advantage on praegu veel 100% hedge režiimis kuid suur osa avatud tehingutest on kasumi arvelt juba suletud. Ise tahaks loota, et CA suudab järgneva 6-12 kuuga tehingutest välja saada.

John Wick Signals tegi Jaanuaris vaid mõned tehingud ja tulemuseks oli 10 pippi, mis on praktiliselt olematu. Vaatame mida järgnevad kuud endaga toovad!

SOCIAL TRADING

Kui vaadata kõiki erinevaid kontosid, millele mul on juurdepääs, võin öelda, et Social Trading andis parima tulemuse, arvestades kuutasu ja kasutusmugavust. FGP05-l oli üks kahjumlik kuu, kuid sellegipoolest lõppes aasta korraliku kasumiga. Kes alustasid kahjumlikul kuul, nende jaoks oli aasta lõpuks konto algsumma juures tagas. Riskitasemeid hallati hästi ja isiklikult oli mul hea meel näha, et riskijuhtimine ei olnud vaid pelgalt sõnad. Nüüd kaalun ise FGP05-sse rohkem vahendeid lisada, kuna tean, mis on tulemas uuendatud Kraitos tarkvaraga. Eeldan, et 2025. aasta saab olema sama hea või isegi parem kui eelmine aasta.

Social Trading sarnaneb olemuselt riskifondile kus maineka Forexi maakleri juures fondihaldur teeb kauplemisotsuseid. Igal panustajal on oma isiklik konto, millele teistel ligipääs puudub ja kasutaja jaoks on see täiesti käed-vabad. Kui soovid rohkem teada siis googelda “PAMM accounts in Forex”.

Link FGP05 ajaloole.

FGP01 tulemused on suuresti privaatsed olnud. Kuvatõmmis 2024 tulemustest.

AUTOMAATSÜSTEEMID

Automaatsete süsteemide tulemused olid seinast seina.

Kraitos tõi kasumit paljudele, sealhulgas ka mulle (35%), kuid oli ka neid, kes võtsid kahjumit. Kui kasutajal on suur kontroll seadistuste üle võivad tulemused palju varieeruda. Peamiselt paistsid probleemid tulenevat kas liiga riskantsest seadistusest või arendaja juhiste järgi mitte kohandatud seadistusest. Kraitos tegi läbi mitu uuenduskuuri ja vaikesätete muudatusi, viimane muutis Kraitose konservatiivsemaks. Kes vastavaid kohandusi ei teinud, võtsid suuremat riski. Elite versioon tuli välja – kuid lõplik hinnang sellele tuleb aasta lõpus. Kraitos Classic suudab endiselt toota kuid turgude muutumise tõttu on liigutud konservatiivsema seadistuse peale ja kes kasutab varasemat seadistust, siis avatud tehingute miinus võib vabalt ulatuda 50% või rohkem.

Osadele Kraitos X kasutajatele osutus viimane kvartal väljakutseks. Osad teenisid tohutult, kuid mõned võtsid ka kahjumit, sest kulla liikumised oli väga vägivaldsed. Kraitos X-l on nüüd “ühe tehingu strateegia”, mis aitab edaspidi kulla liikumistel liigset riski vältida. Vaatame, kas see toob sel aastal kasumit.

Siin on “ühe tehingu strateegia” Myfxbook link ja testimise tulemused.

Flash tegi küll kasumit, kuid riskitase osutus liiga kõrgeks. Niipea, kui praegused positsioonid sulguvad võtan Flashi pärisraha kontolt maha. Kõige paremini toimetas Flash “London Gold breakout” strateegia, mis jookseb demo kontol.

Gearbox tõi Novembris/Detsembris, kui USDCAD ja EURUSD tegid väga ootamatult pikki liikumisi, mõnele kasutajale kahjumit. Loomulikult oleks saanud ennetavalt USA valimiste ootuses riski mitu kuud varem maha keerata, kuid enamik seda ei teinud. Gearbox 3.0, millel on hedging, pehmendas küll kaotuseid kuid neid vältida ei õnnestunud. Tavaliselt toimub pärast selliseid kahjumeid kiire taastumine – saame näha, kas Gearbox katab need kahjumid kiiresti või mitte.

CRYPTO ADVANTAGE & JOHN WICK SIGNALS + RAIDAR

Crypto Advantage on ametlike avalduste kohaselt praegu 100% hedgingu all, kuni fondihaldur naaseb. Enne tema lahkumist vähendati kahjumipositsioone jooksvalt kasumi arvelt. Pakun, et umbes 30–50% kahjumis positsioonidest on suudetud sulgeda. Loodetavasti Crypto Advantage saab selle aastaga positsioonidest välja.

John Wick Signals alustas 2024 hästi, kuid turud muutusid ja signaalide kvaliteet langes alates Veebruarist. Kahjuks langes see kokku ajaga, mil signaalidel põhinev robot Raidar välja tuli. Kohanemine võttis enamuse aastast. Tulemuseks see, et Raidar jooksis lati alt läbi. Eelnevatel aastatel oli signaalidega võidetud pipside hulk kaks korda suurem. Saame näha, mida Signals sellel aastal saavutab.

John Wick signaalide statistika on siin.

SOCIAL TRADING

When looking at all the different accounts I have access to I can say that Social Trading performed the best considering the price point and ease of use. FGP05 did have a losing month but it recovered well and the year ended in good profit. Who took losses was around breakeven by end of 2024. Drawdown levels were well managed & personally I was glad to see that risk management was actually executed. I am now considering adding more funds to FGP05 myself as I know what is coming with the updated Kraitos software. I expect 2025 to be as good if not better as last year.

In short Social Trading stands for segregated account based trading with a reputable Forex broker where a fund manager takes care of the trading decisions. It is completely hands free for the user. If you want to know in more detail just google “PAMM accounts in Forex”.

Here is a link to FGP05 history.

FGP01 history has been largely private but here is a screenshot of 2024.

EXPERT ADVISORS

The picture with Experts Advisors or EA-s as we call it is not straight forward. Read on to make your own conclusions.

Kraitos did make a profit for many people including myself but there were also users who took losses. It seems like this will always be the case with EA-s where the user has a large degree of control over settings. Mainly it seemed either too risky settings or not adjusting settings according to the developer as Kraitos was tuned down to more conservative over the last year. Kraitos also had several updates in code and strategy. Elite version was released – the verdict on that is still out there. Kraitos classic is still a solid performer!

Kraitos X turned out to be a handful because of how Gold behaved in the last quarter. Some users made a killing but some got the equity protector hit. Kraitos X now has “one trade strategy” that will avoid such losses in the future. Lets see if it will turn a profit this year. One trade strategy Myfxbook link. Backtest results are here.

Flash did turn a profit in 2024 but the risk level was too high for my taste so as soon as I get out of the current positions, I will not run Flash on live accounts. I have to add that I was impressed with Flash when it comes to Gold breakout strategy – it handled the big moves like a champ but would still not run on a live account.

Gearbox took losses for some users in November/December when USDCAD went wild. The challenge with Gearbox is that the strategy is adjusted after the losses have already happened. One could of course increase gears in anticipation of US elections but most did not do that. Gearbox 3.0 which has hedging did soften the fall but it still was painful. Usually there is a fast recovery after such losses – remains to be seen if Gearbox will rapidly recover those losses or not. I do have one account that is in profit even with losses taken in December – it is running a custom setup with shorter timeframes, so it reacts faster to changes in the markets.

CRYPTO ADVANTAGE & JOHN WICK SIGNALS + RAIDAR

Crypto Advantage has had a bumpy ride so far and according to official statements is currently 100% hedged until the fund manager returns. Before his leave it was closing out losing positions from profit made. I assume that about 30-50% of the drawdown has been closed out so far. Hopefully 2025 will conclude with Crypto Advantage as a winner.

John Wick Signals started on the right foot but things slowed down and quality of signals dropped from February. Unluckily it was the month when Signals based EA Raidar was released so Raidar did not take off as hoped by many. Previous years had 2x the amount of pips. It remains to be seen what Signals will do this year.

Check out John Wick Signals data here.